6/21/2016

Trump's Done, Lets Win the Senate


http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate/
As the upcoming election dates draws near, who will come out on top is becoming all too clear with the latest update on Republican nominee Donald Trump’s flailing campaign. After an abysmal donation filing last month, Trump is left with a paltry $1.3 million on hand compared to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton at $41 million. Paired with a nationwide campaign outreach of 70 employees to Clinton's 700, and Trump's campaign appears to be in terrible disarray.

If anything, this should be a breathe of relief to not only Muslims and Latinos but also intrepid Democrats fearing a Trump presidency. Yet their sights seem to remain on the White House, perhaps not giving enough thought to the Senate, necessary in part to passing any legislation the Clinton administration will come to support. Why not spread Clinton's war-chest to other races that could change the face of the Senate?
 
While Republicans currently hold the majority in the Senate by four, they are separated by only several seats from the Democrats for that title. Larry J. Sabato predicts Republicans may lose up to six seats in toss-up elections. According to Politico, there are 15 seats that can be viable openings for Democrats to reclaim the majority and even push them past a supermajority. Some Republican-held seats have become slightly more vulnerable under a Trump ballot, such as John McCain in Latino-heavy Arizona and Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire. To increase their shot of declaring victory the candidates will need some help (funds) along the way to last until the election.

One of the Democratic Senate candidates include Deborah Ross of North Carolina, taking on incumbent GOP Senator Richard Burr. Seen as a vulnerable seat because of the state's demographics, matched with a growing grassroots effort in response to numerous state laws including voting rights and the recent anti-trans bathroom bill. Still, Ross is not seen as a sure-shot because of her history as the former chair of the state's ACLU and "may need all the help she can get."

Other races seem long-shots such as unseating Ohio Senator Rob Portman or Rand Paul of Kentucky, but any of the races are worth a shot when Priorities USA Action, a super PAC supporting Clinton, has $52 million on hand. The Koch brothers have reportedly chosen to focus their efforts on Senate elections instead of Trump, Democratic strategists must suggest donors and others to do the same. There are enough voters ready and willing to make sure Trump doesn’t become president, Clinton has amassed a highly professional and well-supported campaign. Let’s share the wealth rather than waste it on a shoe-in candidate.

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